Compare how to deploy capital over 1, 3, 6 or 12 months. This lab reads your local Studio settings when available, but never modifies account profiles, budgets, presets, or trading calculations.
Editable scenario inputs. Probabilities and durations below are assumptions for planning, not predictions or live-broker simulations.
The same capital and account assumptions across all four approaches. “Best” means highest median profit among the strategies that meet the selected loss-risk constraint.
| Allocation method | Median net | P10 / P90 net | Chance of goal | Chance of ≥50% loss | Median payout cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculating… | |||||
Currently selected strategy: —
End-of-month median cumulative net profit. Charts are based on simplified payout timelines, not tick-level price paths.
“Ruin” in this first version means losing at least half your starting capital by the horizon; it is not an account-level drawdown breach probability.
Each monthly cohort buys evaluations from its available investment cash; passing accounts pay the modeled activation fee and may collect the first payout after the specified number of months. A second payout is modeled one month later, conditional on surviving and becoming eligible. Returned cash is kept separate from protected reserve; reinvestment can be enabled.
Outcomes within a cohort use independent Bernoulli trials. Correlation between mirrored accounts, challenge renewal subscriptions, prop-firm account allocation limits, slippage, payout minimums, account-level trailing drawdown, taxes, refund rules, trading-day eligibility, and payment delays are not enforced. They can materially affect outcomes. Do not use this model to establish broker or firm compliance.
The “adaptive” schedule invests progressively depending on realized monthly surplus. All simulated numbers are hypothetical. This is an exploratory allocation model, not an optimizer that guarantees profit. This lab does not send orders or access trading accounts.